A thesis installation following one house across geological time, urban development, and an uncertain climate future.
about this work
2110 is a thesis installation examining 2110 Blue Lawn Road, the address of a house in the American midwest. It's a mid-century ranch house with a story that moves deep through time. The work moves backward through 400 million years of geology, Indigenous land stewardship, colonial transformations, and the modern housing market. Then it projects forward to the year 2110 using climate modeling under the IPCC's SSP2-4.5 scenario.
The installation is structured as three rooms: The Past Room, which holds archival documents, audio, and ecological footage; The Present Room, a portrait of the house today; and The Future Room, where a climate model runs live on the wall screen, speculating on what the house--and the idea of home--might become.
Welcome to 2110.
the problem
Climate change is accelerating material degradation, insurance market withdrawal, and financial risk for property owners. Most risk assessments remain regional and abstract. This project asks what it looks like to assess climate risk at the scale of a single address.
methods
The climate model draws on ERA5 reanalysis data (1940-present), CMIP6 multi-model ensemble outputs (EC-Earth3P-HR, MPI-ESM1-2-XR, MRI-AGCM3-2-S), and IPCC AR6 delta-scaling under SSP2-4.5, the "middle of the road" emissions scenario used in most near-term adaptation planning. A physics-based materials degradation framework translates climate projections into property-specific maintenance cost trajectories and structural vulnerability estimates.
applications
The methodology is applicable to insurance underwriting, real estate due diligence, and adaptive building management, wherever a property's climate risk needs to be understood at the scale of the structure rather than the region.
Thesis · Parsons School of Design, 2026 · site in progress
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